Die 7-tage Inzidenz in Deutschland ist nur noch 9.* Unter 10, eine magische Zahl. 🎉

Es gibt keine Kreise mehr mit einer Inzidenz über 50.* Eine magische Zahl. 🎈

Die Inzidenz in ist nur noch 15.** 🍾

Gestern nur noch 1 Fall (gut, es war Samstag).*** 😎

Und ab heute gelten neue Regeln in Bonn.**** Mann kann sich jetzt draußen mit 5 Haushalten treffen, plus weitere Immunisierte.

* rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neua
** bonn.de/themen-entdecken/gesun
*** bonn.de/themen-entdecken/gesun
**** bonn.de/themen-entdecken/gesun

@pluralistic Would love to hear your expert take on the new personnel of the Federal Trade Commission.

Sam Seder on the Majority Report claimed this week that they now have a majority of "pro aggressive anti-trusters". youtu.be/lLsu_RKOJoQ?t=3847

@mawe Vielleicht, aber dann sollte Ulrich Reitz das offen sagen. Es wurde seine Märchengeschichten konsistenter machen.

@lmsvater

@lmsvater Genau, volkswirtschaftliche Ineffizienz und Umverteilung zu den Reichen.

Das Umlagesystem wird teurer weil wir eine Generation mehr Alten durchfüttern müssen.

Aber wie sollte das Rentensystem gerechter werden durch die junge Leute *zusätzlich* auch noch für ihre eigene Rente zahlen zu lassen?

Wenn früher die Babyboomer dies gemacht hätten hätte das Sinn ergeben. Jetzt macht es das Problem nur schlimmer.

Zudem, warum ist in der Deutschland Öffentlichkeit so ein kapitalgedecktes System immer ein ineffizientes privates System mit viel Verwaltungskosten?

@frank87 Where were those ferrets housed? How many people were manipulating and feeding the ferrets?

How many generations of ferrets would it need to evolve an infectious virus? How did the researchers know in advance that a ferret virus would be infectious for humans? (Non-super scientists needed observations to figure out which other animals were involved. There are primitive models, but they excluded mink for SARS2.)

Do you have a source for the claim about the research in Rotterdam?

Proof of Concept für einen offlinefähigen Open-Source Sprachassistenten meetup.com/de-DE/Cologne-Java_

Kölner Java Meetup (aber natürlich online): "Wir besprechen, welche Hard- und Software notwendig ist, um einen eigenen Sprachassistenten [wie Siri oder Alexa] in Betrieb zu nehmen sowie welche Vor- und Nachteile dieses System mit sich bringt."

Bundesstadt Bonn: " liegt ab 20. Juni 2021, offiziell in der Inzidenzstufe 1. Ab diesem Tag gelten weitere Lockerungen und Öffnungen. Die allg. im Freien wird mit wenigen Ausnahmen ab Montag, 21. Juni, aufgehoben.

Ausführliche Infos:
bonn.de/pressemitteilungen/jun
"

Auch ohne Pflicht kann man natürlich weiterhin Masken tragen.

@tfardet Yes, we can culture SARS-CoV-2, but not batRaTG13.

This piece of "knowledge" comes from the podcast "This Week in Virology", have not found a source yet, but looking for it found this relevant fact check of Health Feedback, the cousin of Climate Feedback. healthfeedback.org/could-scien

I know you are arguing in good faith. My apologies if my frustration with the mass media deceiving the American public again shines through.

Let's call it a day.

@tfardet So your claim is that scientists at the WIV knew how to change 1,200 base pairs to create a pandemic virus from a virus they cannot even culture?

Did they have some means to predict in advance what changing these 1,200 would do or did they do this iteratively? How much time would one iteration take? How did they know every iteration whether they had a "better" virus? How many people would have to work on this, in an international scientific group, and keep their mouths shut?

@tfardet A bio-weapons lab seems to be a much better hypothesis to me. They could do decades of research, but would not publish about their work, they could use human prisoners as lab animals, they could recruit armies of technicians to go out and sample the environment for viruses and ensure they keep their mouths shut.

@tfardet I did not make an argument based on gene size. Just pointing out how large the genetic difference is. To a naive reader 96% similarity may sound like a cousin, but we are talking about way out there different species levels of differences.

I was not being facetious, what was the argument you were making with that link?

If this virus would have been in human cells (in a Petri dish) they would evolve to take advantage of a lush surrounding without immune system, we would see that.

@tfardet Thanks for the link. Will read. What is the corresponding argument?

P.S. The common ancestor of RaTG and SARS-CoV-2 is decades old. A 4% difference is huge and enormous amount of evolutionary work. The difference between humans and chimps is 1 to 2%. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_ev

@ulrichkelber Ich glaube, so viel Detail ist höchst optimistisch. Gewitter vorherzusagen ist richtig schwierig.

Das Muster passt schon mal nicht zu wo die Schauer jetzt sind (was natürlich nicht das Gleiche ist).

@tfardet If you do not modify it much, the question becomes how did they find the virus that did not need much modification to spread in humans?

That is not trivial, we are living in a cloud of viruses every day, but they are viruses that need other organisms to reproduce. So many things need to be just right to infect cells, to evade the immune system, to reproduce (thousands of biochemical reactions would need to fit), and to spread. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viral_li

@tfardet It is a normal scientific lab that publishes in the scientific literature.

One could argue with some secretive bio-weapons lab. But then the association between Wuhan and the lab goes away and you are fully in evidence-free territory. Then it could have been the bio-weapons lab of any country.

(BTW, the link between the wet market and the WIV is also quite weak. There were cases before the wet market and the actual WIV is quite far away; many confuse the WIV with another closer lab.)

@tfardet How much modifying do you assume?

If not much, it is basically natural and it is much more likely that a non-virologist had the bat or bat-some-animal contact.

If you assume they modified a virus or created a chimeric virus a lot, they would have had to do that futuristic research in secret without publishing about it, i.e., without help from the rest of science. And they would still have had to be incredibly lucky to stumble on the initial virus (viruses) they could do this with.

@tfardet Exchanging spikes was the kind of primitive studies the WIV used to do. That is so much more primitive than building a virus from scratch. They would have to be decades if not centuries ahead of the science elsewhere while doing it all be themselves and not publishing about it.

Even if you would be able to do that and build something viable, if you build a bad virus from parts of viruses you would see mad evolution in the beginning to become more adapted.

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